Water GenbuTier 1
at NLG Store Champs
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
4-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
72.2%
avg ELO +14.2 per match
expected value
60.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1517
· median 1517
· range 1517–1517
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1141
Q1 1212
Q3 1517
1597
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.5 |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Wind Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
